Folded with Adam Bienkov

Folded with Adam Bienkov

Is This the End for Nigel Farage?

This week proved that the wheels are now finally falling off the Reform bus. Could Farage be about to fall off with them?

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Adam Bienkov
Aug 01, 2026
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Is Nigel Farage about to fall off the Reform bus?

Last December I predicted that the wheels would soon fall off the Nigel Farage project and boy is that prediction now starting to pan out.

Last night Reform UK lost the Greater Manchester by-election by a landslide 30-point margin against Labour.

This is the fourth previously winnable by-election that Farage’s party has now lost in a row and it is by some margin the worst of the lot.

Their latest heavy defeat comes as polls this week also showed a collapse in both Reform and Farage’s ratings, amid multiple investigations into his personal finances.

So is the Reform leader now done and dusted as a political force, or could there still be a route back for Britain’s great political survivor?

Here’s what I predict will happen next.

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