What I Got Wrong in 2023

While most of my political predictions for this year turned out to be on the money, there was one glaring exception

The big lesson from 2023 is that Rishi Sunak has been greatly overestimated

“Those who have knowledge, don't predict. Those who predict, don't have knowledge” - Lao Tzu

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One year ago this week I set out my five predictions for the political year ahead.

Looking back at my list I’m pretty pleased with how I did. Four out of the five predictions are pretty clear hits, with events overwhelmingly turning out as I had forecast.

However, one of the predictions I made fell into an embarrassing trap that I am determined to avoid repeating.

Here’s what I got right and wrong over the past 12 months.