What I Got Wrong in 2023

While most of my political predictions for this year turned out to be on the money, there was one glaring exception

Dec 22, 2023

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The big lesson from 2023 is that Rishi Sunak has been greatly overestimated

“Those who have knowledge, don't predict. Those who predict, don't have knowledge” - Lao Tzu

One year ago this week I set out my five predictions for the political year ahead.

Looking back at my list I’m pretty pleased with how I did. Four out of the five predictions are pretty clear hits, with events overwhelmingly turning out as I had forecast.

However, one of the predictions I made fell into an embarrassing trap that I am determined to avoid repeating.

Here’s what I got right and wrong over the past 12 months.

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